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We Sold These!

It’s been a busy month, in which we sold these three listings. See all the listings at our listing page.

First to close, last week, was this beautifully-decorated town house with broad views of the mountains in North Phoenix. It sold within days and within $2,000 of asking price.

It is generally difficult to find anything under $300,000 in Central Phoenix, especially something that was as move-in-ready as this property –2br/2ba, 1,423sf with a garage.

Next to close was this nicely updated 3br/2ba, 1,544sf home in the popular Coronado Neighborhood.

The owners have added to an already-updated home to include high-tech smart fan and smart lock technology. The home had updates in both 2014 and 2016, with recessed LED lights and low-E windows.

The lot is large in back and ready for entertaining, while the 1925 historic Santa Fe-style charm in front adds to the curb appeal.

Finally, we closed on this 1964 home, which maintained beautiful features from the 1960s mid-century movement. It is 2,287sf and has 4 bedrooms, 3 baths –and one of the bedrooms will make a great second master.

This home, in the desirable North Central Phoenix area, is close to attractions, restaurants, shopping and recreational hot spots.

The market is still hot right now. If you have a home that you’d like to list –or just have a no-pressure consultation about your best strategy– contact us at 602-456-9388.

October 1, 2019by phxAdmin
Blogroll

October Market Update

Well, the tight inventory of homes persists as we consider the October Market Update.

The shortage (maybe shortage is too strong a word); the unexpectedly low supply of active listings may be what is driving the Cromford Index higher.

The seller’s have an advantage. Two of the three listings we had in the last month sold in days at list price or just about list price.

When I pulled out just the CenPho zip codes that dominate the historic areas –85003, 04, 06, 07, 12, 13 & 15– we see the same general condition, just with fewer listings than the whole county, obviously.

The sales price per square foot dropped in the CenPho area by only $2, so it was just outside the Cromford Report’s statistical margin of error. I would not expect that to change much unless we were to see a true increase in inventory.

And, as you know, we are not seeing significant construction on condos and townhomes in CenPho –just lots of apartments.

But, the big news continues to be that shortage of inventory. What is causing it?

Is it because people who want to sell are concerned they can’t find something new reasonably priced?

Is it because ibuyer companies have bought up a huge number of homes and have turned them in to rentals, thus depriving the market, over all, of inventory?

I tend to believe it is the latter. I also tend to believe that the number of AirBnB properties in the valley (nay, the country!) could have a downward affect on prices the next time the over-all economy corrects.

In other words, when the economy inevitably slows, there will be fewer people staying at hotels and AirBnBs. Many owners will sell and that might increase supply in such a way as to further depress prices.

October 1, 2019by phxAdmin
Blogroll

Breadfruit Recognized

Yes, the title above is intentionally misleading. I mean, would you recognize a breadfruit if you saw one in the store? I’m not sure I would.

But, I’m referring to the wonderful downtown Jamaican restaurant called Breadfruit. Follow this link to see the interview that Marshall Shore and I did with Breadfruit owner, Danielle Leoni.

Breadfruit has been recognized as one of only three restaurants in Phoenix that are leaders in sustainability.

See the AZCentral article here.

We at the Get Your PHX team are supporters of efforts to make businesses and homes more sustainable, and quickly. So, we are always happy to see people like Danielle and Dwayne (of Rum Bar fame) working hard and putting their personal resources on the line to push the envelope.

It’s not easy as a business owner to take those risks.

So, congratulations! Keep up the great work!

September 4, 2019by phxAdmin
Blogroll

Mayor’s Arts Awards

Here’s a quick community note for all of those who want to help support the arts in Phoenix. It’s not until October 10th, but tickets go fast!

Date/Time
Date(s) – 10/10/2019
6:30 pm – 9:00 pm

Location
Phoenix Center for the Arts

Categories

Phoenix Center for the Arts is proud to present the Eighth Annual Mayor’s Arts Awards on Thursday, October 10, 2019, in the Margaret T. Hance Park Urban Plaza.

The Mayor’s Arts Awards will present outstanding leaders in nine areas; Culinary Arts, Dance, Creative Writing, Music, Theatre, Visual Arts, Young Artist (age 12-17), DIY/Maker (new category!), and Innovative Arts Organization.

Tickets: 
$125 for individual ticket
$1,000 for a table

September 4, 2019by phxAdmin
Blogroll

A Fly-In Chapel

Donna Reiner, a local historian and a good friend of Get Your PHX, has written many articles over the years for the Arizona Republic and others about Phoenix history. We use her services when we list properties of historic significance to help us tell the stories behind the homes.

We are happy that Donna is allowing us to re-publish some of her articles on a monthly basis. If you or your business ever needs a historian, let Donna know at laydeescholar “at” hotmail.com.


Much like modern ski-in and ski-out resorts, Sky Harbor once was the home to several innovative fly-in concepts. For several years it featured First National Bank’s fly-in center, the first in the country, which catered to businessmen and cattlemen with small private aircraft. But years before that, there was a fly-in chapel.

No, people did not actually fly into the chapel. Rather, they would take a flight from anywhere and come to sunny Arizona. Of course, they would first need to make arrangements to have a minister or justice of the peace to conduct the service in case they needed to make a quick turn around.

But why was there such a place at the airport in the first place? When the fly-in chapel was conceived in the late 1930s by the Phoenix Junior Chamber of Commerce, it was seen as a unique promotion to entice “aerial elopers.” At the time, there was a three-day waiting period to get a marriage license which include having a blood test in California and Las Vegas was not yet perceived as the “quickie” wedding spot.

And so this publicity gimmick should have appealed to Hollywood celebrities. That was not the case, but still, it did attract some Californians of lesser known status. Donald Novis was an NBC broadcasting personality in California and he arranged for KTAR to air his marriage in 1938 which included live music played by a Spanish orchestra.

But please note, this was not a chapel where guests came in and sat down. Try to picture an archway constructed in an adobe Spanish Mission style. That’s actually all it was along with a pulpit, a bell in the “tower,” and a cross on top. So everyone stood and the wedding parties were generally very small.

Located near what was originally Terminal West (Terminal 1), the chapel served as the marriage site for approximately 46 couples during its short life, many of whom actually lived in the valley.

Some of the names of the early couples were engraved in a copper plaque that was attached to the structure and Don Novis and his brother’s names both were there. But it is unclear where this plaque may be now. One oddity is that the first couple married in this open-air site drove to the airport rather than flying.

As the airport grew, the seldom used chapel was finally removed although the bell was retained and placed on display. For a long time the bell was the only visible reminder of this fly-in chapel. Recently it was removed by the Phoenix Airport Museum and is currently being stored.

September 4, 2019by phxAdmin
Blogroll

Reform in America: Lobbyists

Since I’m a total public policy nerd and former legislator, I can’t help but dive in to some issues that I think could represent some common ground across the political spectrum. This month, I’m taking a look at lobbying and the undue influence that it has on our political system.


Whether you are on the right or the left, you can see how lobbying takes the political strength away from people and gives it to special interests. It is more difficult for us, as a country, to plan for our long-term growth, to invest in infrastructure and to compete against countries that have much stronger consensus about where they are going (read “China”).

What does this have to do with real estate and you personal home? Lots!

Lobbyists in the insurance industry can write rules to make the cost of owning your home higher. Other lobbyists might lobby to cut funding that could be used for infrastructure that benefits your roads, bridges and schools.

Even my own National Association of Realtors annually lobbies for the mortgage interest tax credit, which has the affect of raising the deficit/debt, driving home prices upward and disadvantaging first time or low income home owners, which, in turn, weakens neighborhoods and hurts your own home value. (Here’s a handy look at that.)

And why wouldn’t unions, special interest groups and corporations spend money on lobbying? After all, lobbying has a return on investment that is astronomically higher than anything you could ever see in the business world. One dollar spent on lobbying yields $760 in returns, or 76,0000%.

Check out this handy primer from Represent.US, a non-partisan reform group that seeks a whole list of changes to our electoral system. While I don’t agree with all of their reforms, I do believe that many of them represent an area of common ground that Americans have a problem talking about because our entire “news” and social media landscape is geared toward NOT actually finding common ground.

Let’s save that for another blog post.

Of course, what you may call a “special interest” may be my “advocacy group.” But, that way of talking about it misses the point completely, and only serves to keep the status quo in place.

We need laws that advantage ideas over money.

Right now, we have the opposite.

The problem is not that people lobby. In fact, their right to do so is enshrined in the 1st Amendment to the Constitution. What is not enshrined is the act of giving contributions to lawmakers.

“Wait,” I hear you say, “you were a lawmaker and you took lobbyist dollars. You’re a hypocrite to try to eliminate lobbyist contributions now that you are no longer in office.”

Here’s a little background before you toss aside a good idea so easily.

As a rule, I did not allow lobbyist contributions to exceed 10% of my total candidate contributions. I did this because I felt that I wanted to be clear as to where my allegiance lay –regular voters. I still took up to 10% in contributions because I felt that I had to maintain good relationships lobbyists and I learned that it was too easy to be ignored as a lawmaker if I did not at least make a symbolic show of taking contributions.

Further, I did support contribution bans, but I was also aware that the make-up of the Arizona legislature prevented any progress there. So, I focused on other priorities.

So, having said all of that, let’s focus on how we can legally stop all lobbyist contributions, most notably at the federal level.

It’s really very simple: we already have precedence to define lobbying as a profession that necessitates the ban for the common good.

All we have to do it look to the banking and finance industry –paradoxically, a group that has benefited massively from lobbying. They already have rules in place that recognize a very core principle: giving money to government officials has an unfair effect on the public policy that it creates.

Period. Full Stop. Basic common sense.

Specifically, if you look at the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority’s (FINRA) Rule G37 from the Municipal Securities Rule-making Board (MSRB) and Rule 206 of the Municipal Financial Professionals, you will see reasonable restrictions for professionals who give advice to public entities (cities and towns, etc) about where to invest taxpayer money.

Here are the most important ones:

  1. If you are an investment advisor under this rule, you can’t host fundraisers for candidates.
  2. You can’t loan money to campaigns.
  3. You can give a personal contributions, but there are limits and you can only contribute to the candidate from the district you live in already.
  4. You can personally volunteer your time.
  5. There are also restrictions when you are handling investment funds for unions.

Both of these sets of rules originate from the Investment Advisors Act of 1940, and they represent a decades-old common understanding by people in the financial industry of what we all know, but we’ve lost touch with: if the lawmakers are supposed to do the best job possible of making laws that are fair to all citizens (in this case municipal bond investors), you need to keep the lawmaking process as free from undue influence as possible.

There is clearly value here. Imagine: if you took these rules away, the bond companies would have a fit because they would know that there would be a new, undue influence on the sale of their principle product, bonds. That would not be fair.

So, imagine this for a second as applied to Congress. A lobbyist is a professional mouthpiece for some special interest (left, right, center, whatever).

But, as a fact of life, we all recognize that a lawmaker needs to make the best decision possible, not based on dollar contributions (read “fuel for the next election). So, it stands to reason that the lobbyist’s arguments for or against a law need to be more important than their dollars.

Does this solve all of the problems? Heck no! This must accompany other reforms.

As you can see in this article and graphic, the very definition of lobbyist is too weak to institute this rule right now.

But there are more reforms that must happen now.

We need to update the definition of lobbyist.

We need to disclose dark money.

We need to shine more light on corporate and union money that flows through third party PACs to the lawmaker, thus negating the reform suggested above. So, yes, we need to fix the problem with Citizens United.

Have a look at this American Anti-Corruption Act, as well as this article as a good conversation starter. Again, I don’t agree with everything in here, but I still maintain that there is a lot of common ground in here between the right and the left.

I have friends on the right who agree with me that our government’s lawmaking process needs deep reforms. But, again, the news and media landscape in the US actually work against our ability to find common ground.

Regardless, I wanted to touch on this particular idea and its under-pinnings as a way to show that these reforms are possible. We can do this. As people of all political persuasions, we can find common ground about the rules by which we play.

In fact, if we do not, we will never see an end to our current national stalemate.

Note: A special thanks to Richard Ross, a financial advisor and friend from Valley Leadership, who found the specific FINRA and MRSB rules for me so I could sound like a real smarty-pants.

Note: Here’s another good article to give you background on a possible lobbying contribution ban and the difference between lobbying with ideas vs lobbying with money.

September 3, 2019by phxAdmin
Blogroll

September Market Update

Wow.

I go away on vacation for one week and y’all drive the Cromford Index up to 200. What? You can’t wait for me to come back before you have a party?

Jeeeeeeeeze

Of course, Tina Tamboer of the Cromford Report has her weekly commentary about this occurrence. Here are the highlights. Then, let’s look at the consequences of this shift in the Cenpho and historic areas.

(I’ve added charts to illustrate what Tina is referring to.)

“With the Cromford® Market Index over 200 for the first time since 2005, the market is obviously hot and remarkably unbalanced in favor of sellers. Demand is some 8% above normal, which is strong but not too unusual. What is unusual is that supply is 43% below normal. We have had supply below normal ever since May 2011. but the weak flow of new listings has exacerbated the situation.

Active listings widened the gap compared to last year but declined much less in August than they did in July. Normally active listings grow each year between August 1 and September 1, so even though the decline was gentle it is not good news for buyers.

Listings under contract gained more momentum when compared with 2018 but fell sequentially (as is normal every year). Closed listings beat last year by 6.7%. August had the maximum 23 working days in both 2018 and 2019 so this comparison needs no adjustment – we are doing about 7% more business through the MLS than this time last year, measured in units. Of course the average price is up over the last 12 months so dollar volume is up by almost 12%.

Demand usually subsides between July and January every year so unless there a brand new trend develops we should see new listings maintain enough momentum to keep active listing counts from falling much further, if at all. However when demand grows again again in February we can expect a mad scramble. We will probably look back on 3Q 2019 and wonder how prices managed to stay so low. Based on existing data, the Cromford® Report expects a strong upward trend in closed pricing between October 2019 and June 2020.”

So, how are things in the Cenpho/historic areas? Let’s look at some of the same measures for the areas where most historic properties are: 85003, 85004, 85006, 85007, 85012, 85013, 85014, 85015.

(I do love these pretty charts. So many colors!)

First, the difference from just last year is striking, and mirrors the valley-wide chart that Tina spoke about, above. Now, as Tina said, hopefully this imbalance will level out as the year progresses. However, if you have a home you are thinking of listing, now is the time to do it!

This change represents a 30.7% difference from this time last year. And, you can feel it. We have listings on the market now that are getting tons of showings. This time last year, we were struggling to get showings, even with a beautiful home in Coronado at about $350k. Our clients decided to rent it for a year and try again. You will see that listing on this website and in our newsletter. It was a very smart move on their part.

Looking at the year-over-year change in “under contract”, you see the same thing in our area, as Tina spoke about valley-wide. This may not seem surprising, but there are many times that the CenPho area defies trends of the whole valley.

So, this tells us that, if you are listed, you are going to sell and you will sell quickly — at least until some of the buyers go away near the end of the year when the holidays come around.

If you are a buyer, I feel for you. If you are a buyer who was saying that you were going to wait for the market to drop when we were predicting to you that it won’t, well, I still feel for you.

None of us has a crystal ball. But I think the following will remain true: there is a shortage of available housing in Cenpho because the land is almost entirely built out and developers prefer apartments over condos (which is a shame).

So, while we are certainly heading toward an over-all economic correction in the US and AZ, the supply of homes will not shift much. Even if demand decreases due to larger economic factors, don’t expect prices to drop too far.

I predict one scenario in which prices could drop, but it is uncharted territory, so we just don’t know. You may have heard me talk about it: the Air BnB bubble.

There are so many properties on the market that were scooped up for AirBnB, that it deprived buyers of real homes. Well, if the over-all economy drops “hotel stays” drop, many of those homes may come on the market, thus increasing supply at a time when demand is weak.

I’m gonna bookmark this prediction to see how correct it is.

But, for now, if you need a house, buy a house. I don’t see prices dropping any time soon.

September 3, 2019by phxAdmin
Blogroll

New Listing in North Central

There has been a huge price drop on this beautiful 4br/3ba, 2,287sf home in North Central Phoenix.

Now only $530,000!

It includes a 2-car garage, pool and sits on a roomy 8,862sf lot. See the full MLS Listing here.

The owner has maintained some of the beautiful features from the 1960s mid-century movement.

The dining room has a dramatic fireplace and the living room makes full use of the natural lighting from the big front windows. The metallic cork wallpaper creates a vibrant accent. Plus the home includes custom features, such as low-voltage recessed lighting. The kitchen and dining areas have new tile flooring, which complements the modern kitchen design.

This home, in the desirable North Central Phoenix area, is close to attractions, restaurants, shopping and recreational hot spots.

August 8, 2019by phxAdmin
Blogroll

Townhouse with a View

It is nearly impossible to find a property under $300,000 in Central Phoenix, let alone a townhouse like this.

This 2br/2ba, 1,423sf townhouse in a gated community boasts beautiful views of the mountains. You can wake up looking at Piestewa Peak, or drive about a mile to the Dreamy Draw Trailhead –not to mention the many other local attractions, dining and shopping.

The home just listed at $265,000. See the full MLS Listing here.

The current owner of this beautifully decorated townhouse chose this property for its views, the copious amounts of natural light and the custom plantation shutters. We think you will, too.

The kitchen and laundry are conveniently laid out, including stainless steel appliances and a lot of storage space. The living room and master bedroom exit to the north side balcony, where you can enjoy the views.

The home boasts loads of storage, over-all. Both rooms have big closets for all your needs.

August 8, 2019by phxAdmin
Blogroll

Grand Avenue Festival 2019

Don’t miss this year’s Grand Avenue Festival!

You want original, honest and funky art? Here it is.

WHEN?: November 9th, from 11am – 8pm; After Hours, 8pm – 10pm (check each location for late night hours beyond 10pm).

WHERE?: Historic Grand Avenue from the I-10 overpass south to Van Buren St.

WHAT?: The 11th Annual Grand Avenue Festival is produced by Grand Avenue Arts & Preservation (GAP). This non-traditional ‘walking’ and ‘discovery’ arts Festival includes many free activities: art exhibits, performances, commercial building tours, arts and craft making sites, music, demonstrations, mini-parades, outdoor art installations.

The free “Under the Vintage Roof” tours, headed up by Arizona Preservation Foundation, will include 5 stops this year, including new adaptive re-use projects not previously seen by the public and an exhibit of photos of Historic Grand Avenue.

House of Cirque, can be spottedthroughout the day, and will delight young and old alike with their exotic costumes, fun antics and entourage of strolling musicians, jugglers, dancing skeletons, stilt walkers, and interactive hula hoopers.

Artists, as well as community members, create art from recycled materials. “Hanging Gardens and Woven Fences” are installed on tree trunks, branches, light posts, fences, and the right-of-way. A “Kaleidoscope Sculpture Garden” will be created at designated locations along the Avenue by area artists.

Various fashion events, some participatory, include Marshall Shore’s ‘After Hours’ WEARizona event. Other Festival day fashion offerings include repurposed fashion by community members, as well as designs by local creators/stylists/make-up artists.

Free Festival posters created by artist Ashley Macias, will be available at the GAP info table in front of the Bragg’s building, where visitors can also find info on the “Grand Avenue Sticker Challenge”. 3 inch stickershighlight the work of 7 women artists this year, and can be picked up at participating businesses (while supplies last).

Free children’s activities include face painting, puppet-making, mask making, dragon decorating, a coloring table, a wandering balloon twister, face painting, and more. Mini-parades, with public participation, will take place throughout the day, including Japanese drumming, recycled fashion, handmade instruments, puppets & assemblage.

Look for live mural painting, interspersed with food trucks and maker stations along the street. And the new Silent Auction with work by local artists (location TBD).

HOW CAN I PARTICIPATE?: Show up and grab a Festival Guide at any of the info tables along the street, or from our Wandering Guides (who will be sporting handmade hats and aprons), plan your route, and start exploring! You can also find large blown-up maps and a list of events attached to trees and fences along the street to make finding things easy. Or just start at either end of the street, north or south, and begin walking to discover the magic of Grand Avenue.

TRANSPORTATION? Free, whimsical 6-seater pedi-cabs, decorated by area artists, will ferry visitors to destinations. Temporary bike racks will be set up along the street and there is plenty of free on-street parking along Grand and in designated lots. Grand Avenue is a very walkable street and many visitors prefer to walk and enjoy the nice weather once they arrive.

WHY?: As the Producer of the annual Grand Avenue Festival, GAP’s goal is to celebrate neighborhood sustainability, encourage creative recycling, highlight the arts, promote the small business community, and foster the preservation and adaptive re-use of valuable neighborhood resources.

WHO?: Grand Avenue Arts & Preservation (GAP) is an Arizona non-profit corporation that advocates for the arts and preservation of Phoenix’s Historic Grand Avenue and connects like-minded individuals and organizations. The Grand Avenue Festival received Phoenix Magazine’s “Best Arts Festival”  in the August, 2019 “20 Years Best of the Valley” edition.

FESTIVAL CONTACT: Director, Beatrice Moore; muppetsrealmom@gmail.com; 602.391.4016

UNDER THE VINTAGE ROOF: Jim McPherson at jmcphersoniii@cox.net

WEARizona: Marshall Shore at marshall.shore@gmail.com

WEB: GrandAvenueArtsandPreservation.org or FB: Grand Avenue Festival 2019

Twitter: @grandavefest. @historicgrandave. #grandavefest. #historicgrandave

July 31, 2019by phxAdmin
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