In my October Market Briefing, The Cromford Report’s resident expert, Tina Tamboer, talked about about the Phoenix housing recovery not being expected until 2015 “Memory Lane predictions”.

These are a combination of predictions that never happened or that were completely wrong. An example is the Phoenix housing recovery prediction you’ll see from this how much things change as we move forward in time. The January 31, 2011 prediction. According to ABC 15 coverage of the Phoenix housing conference, the 2009 recovery was predicted in 2012; in 2010, they predicted recovery in 2014; and then in 2011, they change it again to 2015.

Listen to all of these predictions that never came true.

Zillo.com said that housing prices were going to appreciate 6.5%, but it turned out to be well over 26%. On August 6, 2012 Case Shiller predicted that Phoenix area home prices would decline year over year in Phoenix but they didn’t change that to a decrease of 9.5% by the first quarter of 2013, followed by a no change, flap Priceline between the first quarter of 2013 in the first quarter of 2014. Not only did neither of those come true, in fact, Phoenix ended up being the number one city in Case Shiller’s own index in 2013. So not only did the first prediction not come true, but the second prediction of no change between 2013 and 2014, we’ve actually seen prices continue to increase with no stabilization of pricing occurring so far this year.

On May 8, 2012 Phoenix business Journal predicted that Phoenix home prices would fall 11% that year. None of these came true. The only one that came true was on May 3, 2012, when CNN money predicted that buying a home won’t get much cheaper. This is the only thing that was anywhere near correct. Super general and not helpful in the slightest.

Let’s look at some news quotes from years past regarding shadow inventory.

It was widely reported in 2011 that shadow inventory would take close to four years to clear. Just over a year later, MSN real estate, said, “Remember the Looming Shadow Inventory? Never mind.”

This next one is really hilarious: Forbes reported in April of this year that not only are we in a bubble, but also, we have shadow inventory. Never mind that these are two mutually exclusive things. You cannot have a bubble and shadow inventory at the same time. One drives prices down. The other is artificial appreciation. These are two completely different extremes.

Doubletalk, Bubble Talk.

All of these analysts are basically fighting amongst themselves:

CNBC – 30 April 2013, “Boost in Home Prices Doesn’t Equal Bubble”

CNBC – 1 May 2013, “Why the Fast Rise in Home Prices Doesn’t Equal a Bubble.”

Yahoo News – 29 May 2013, “Real Estate Euphoria: Is America in a New Housing Bubble?”

The Economist – 7 June 2013, “No US Housing Bubble.”

NuWire Investor – 12 June 2013, “Reports Show No Phoenix Housing Bubble.”

CNBC – 22 June 2013, “Housing Market: from Recovery to Bubble. Already?”

CNBC – 10 September 2013, “CNBC: We’re in Another Housing Bubble.”

Housingwire – 23 September 2013, “Experts: We Are Not in a Housing Bubble.”

The most credible source would be The Economist. NuWire is pretty good. CNBC is just trying to get eyes on their articles. It’s interesting to see how CNBC has changed their headlines between April and September. “We’re a bubble.” “We’re not in a bubble.” “Oh my God, where in a bubble.” “False alarm. No bubble.”

If we look at headlines from 2012 and 2013, regarding jobs and employment, you’ll find the same confusion confliction.

It just shows that we have a lot of confusing, conflicting headlines in the news media.

As a consumer who is not an expert in all of the different indicators, you don’t really know what to think regarding prices and appreciation. All of that can create insecurity in a buyer. Buyers don’t like uncertainty, so headlines like that can create a lot of skepticism. In truth, skepticism is a healthy thing. It keeps our prices from going too crazy.

The whole purpose of showing you these predictions is for you to see that people who do that much predicting this far in advance really don’t know what they’re talking about. The Crawford Report, however, gives what Tina Tamboer calls “headlights”:

If you feel like you’re driving at night in the real estate market, the Crawford Report just gives you some headlights to know if there’s a curve in the road up ahead. We don’t know what the weather is like in your destination. You can do some pretty good predictions on short-term level, but once you get past 3 to 6 months from now, you become a lot less accurate.”

Next week:
Affordability & Interest Rates Headlines recap and what The Cromford Report headlights show in the realistic next 3 to 6 months.

If you want to buy or sell, and you want my headlight view for the next 3 – 6 months in your desired location, please give me a call at 602-456-9388 or email me at ken@getyourphx.com.

The market price is a function of supply and demand.
~ Tina Tamboer-Glatfelter, Cromford Report

“oh, oh! It’s going up! It’s going up!”

”Oh, no! Now it’s going down, it’s going down!”

It sounds simple, but people get sucked up in the passions of the moment. They forget that price is a function of supply and demand.

100 is the magic line on the Cromford Supply Index.  As you can see from the graph, below, we are below the horizontal supply line of 100. It’s gone down, down, down, so today, in 2013, we are right about where we were in 2004. 

On the Cromford Demand side, we are higher than on normal demand—people have been talking about the high demand, but look, the demand was much higher in 2009.

Tina’s point is not that the demand is super high and therefore that’s what’s making this happen.  It’s that the supply is super low. So, yes, the demand is above average, but it’s not at 150!

Like Transformers.

The Supply Index and The Demand Index transform to show us when there is a seller’s market or a buyer’s market.

In Tina’s presentation at the Get Your PHX March 26 Market Briefing, she showed how the market index was at 300 market index before the recession, which is when many people bought their homes. See how the market index comes up a little bit in 2009?

This is where it becomes a seller’s market for just a short amount of time because people needed to use that first time home buyer’s tax credit. Then that went away and it dropped. Now we’ve been climbing up, steadily.

One of the most common questions Realtors hear is ‘When is the best time to sell my property?’  Often a seller wants to sell at the peak of price, when they can get the most for their investment.  However, their answer should be to sell during a seller’s market, when there’s more demand than supply.  Price is a trailing indicator, meaning that it’s in response to leading indicators such as supply and demand.  By the time our market peaks in price, and the media reports on it months later, the seller on the fence is too late to the party.

The Cromford Market Index is a tool that combines supply and demand data for the Phoenix Metro area to give clients a bird’s eye view of whether we’re in a seller’s or buyer’s market.  From this chart we can see that the peak of the seller’s market was Spring of 2005, after that the index took a dive and seller’s only had 7 months of advantage before reaching balance.  Prices, however, continued to rise until peaking from 2006-2007 when buyer’s took solid control of the market.

Today we find ourselves in a seller’s market once again and consumers are wondering if it’s a good time to sell.  Currently the answer is yes, but if supply increases or demand decreases you don’t want to get stuck on the fence.

~ Tina Tamboer-Glatfelter, Get Your PHX Team/Cromford Report

What’s a normal market?

Most people do not know what a normal market looks like.

For the last 10 years, we’ve been in either a severe up-swing, or crash, or coming out of it. In a more normal market, though, you’re going to fluctuate back and forth on this range among either side of this 100 line of the seller’s market/buyer’s market index line. So what’s happening is you get people reacting more extremely than they would in a normal market. Have a look again at those green circles again, below.

Low and behold, here we are, today, right back where we were in 2004.

If you bought in 2004, you’re probably in a good place to sell it. If you bought in 2009, 2010, 2011, you’re probably also in a good place to sell it. This is important to emphasize.  You’re starting to see people put things on the market, which is good, because it’s a seller’s market.

When you factor in what we’re seeing in terms of distressed and non-distressed single family inventory, foreclosures, and short-sales, and then look at it all in context, you’ll understand why equity seller is returning. That’s next week.

If you want to sell (or buy), please give me a call at 602-456-9388 or email me at ken@getyourphx.com.

[rollercoaster pic: Upsilon Andromedae]

Y’all know that I dig The Cromford Report.

And not just because I respect Michael Orr, who founded The Cromford Report and who has been chief analyst and editor since its inception in 2006. The fact that Mike holds a master’s degree in Mathematics from the University of Oxford, has been investing in real estate since 1976, and is director of the Center for Real Estate Theory and Practice at the W. P. Carey School of Business at Arizona State University, should say something about his credentials.

I’ve mentioned to you in the past that the data in The Cromford Report™ comes from public records and under license from the Arizona Regional Multiple Listing Service (ARMLS) is another source of confidence. Reputable organizations like The New York Times and Get Your PHX regularly refer to The Cromford Report for daily real estate market insight in the Greater Phoenix residential market should come as no surprise. What the magic soup, secret spices, and mathematical wizardry is that makes the data into the graphs, charts, index, etc. at The Cromford Report™ is a mystery, but the results are certifiable.

I first wrote about The Cromford Report in March 2011. I’ve been citing it more frequently, lately, and I’ll be doing more so in the months to come.  If you are a real estate investor in Phoenix, you need to subscribe to The Cromford Report.

The Market Index

If there’s one thing you really need to pay attention to on The Cromford Report, it’s The Market Index. If the market gauge is over 100, it’s a seller’s market. Below 100 is a buyer’s market.

Look at the Market Index for today.

This Index is really handy. Based on this number, well over 100, are we in a seller’s or a buyer’s market?

If you follow The Cromford Index (or you’ve been reading my posts), you’ll know that number has been on the rise for the last year.

Historically, you can see what things looked like before and compare it with today.

Back in September, 2010…

Let’s back up to April 2005 and take a look at the Market Index was in context of the years leading up to 2010.

This is Central Phoenix, all areas and types of residential homes, between 2002 and 2009…

At the peak, in April 2005, the Market Index was way, way over 100, making it whose market? (I know. You don’t even have to look; some of you may not want to). Right now, today, the index is 160-ish. We’ve been seeing this coming for a long time.

Here’s the skinny.

This is a VERY HOT seller’s market.

It will not always be that way. If you’re thinking of selling, you have to get in there now. It’s been going up since late last year, but do not assume prices will go up forever. We know they don’t. We know they won’t. It’s so easy to lull yourself into a false sense, especially when you don’t track invaluable resources like The Cromford Report.

“If I just wait 6 months, the prices will be really high” they say.

Yeah, and maybe, if everyone waits six month, there will be no inventory, and the bubble will burst. Or, maybe, interest rates will go up, and then the bubble bursts.

Move on it now. Contact me when you’re ready. I’ve got your back.

I can be reached on my cell at 602-456-9388 or via email Ken@GetYourPHX.com

This week I want to talk about how data informs my gut sense. What does it mean when I talk about different types of ‘data’ in my posts? A hugely reliable source of my data comes from The Cromford Report.  The Cromford Report takes data directly from the Multi-Listing Service, which is the most accurate report of sales in Arizona. In this next graphic, you’ll see what the Cromford Index does. Two things you need to know about this chart on Phoenix for the last 30 days:  Above 100 and below 100.

Look at the two gauges on the left and right sides. Anything over 100 is a seller’s market. If the arrow is in the green, it’s good for sellers; red, it’s good for buyers. As you can see from the 30-day chart at the bottom of the graphic, the supply is really flat right now. That’s because we’re not getting a new supply of homes into the available inventory, which means it’s a seller market. Between buyers (the Supply Index gauge on the left) and sellers (Demand Index gauge on the right) you’ll see demand is pretty flat (in the yellow zone). In an ideal world, buyers and sellers are equal in getting what they want.

 Macro

This chart below is for Phoenix, for the last couple years.

You can see here, in the pink, that it became better for sellers in 2011. It’s at over 100, so it’s better for sellers. Since 2011, it’s been increasingly better for sellers, there was a little drop off at Christmas 2012, but then it’s popping up again. The long-term Crawford Index tells us that things have been getting better for sellers for a while –for much longer than the media was reporting.

Can I get any worthwhile information on just a month worth of data, or must I have a year’s worth of data to be able to offer any real value?

With the Crawford stuff, you have to look at the micro and the macro, balance them out, and end up with the gut feeling (many authors on decision making whom I’ve read say that the gut reaction is the more accurate than we might think). You have to be in the business and see lots of data to get that gut sense.

Micro micro

Check this out, we can look at zip codes also in The Cromford Index.  Isn’t that cool? This is a micro-micro example of using data. This data shown in the chart below is for $100,000 to $250,000 on Phoenix zip codes for 85003, 85004, 85005, 85012, 85013, 85015. This is SFR in Maricopa county. It’s a 6-months moving sales, and it’s really janky because there aren’t that many homes in that price range.  It’s a pretty small area for home prices.

I have used this kind of data in the past (3/26/10 – “Data is right. Media is wrong” and 8/25/09 – “Can I Say I Told You So?” to make my cases about I saw (based on the data) and felt (based on my gut instincts) was going to occur.

Was I right just because of the data?

Not at all. I took the data and used it to get the gut instinct. You’ve seen me put up images of supply, inventory, and demand, on this posts and in the past, and you’ll see them in posts to come, but what I’ve found is you use the macro and the micro data, but in the end you have to go with your gut.

Next week, we’re going to talk about data as it relates to up and coming areas. I can tell you now what my gut instincts tells me:

The micro data shows price increases, but I also know that people are getting priced out of historic neighborhoods, so they’re going next door. I know those neighborhoods. And not just from an aesthetic perspective, but from gut instinct.

Give me a call, buy or sell.  Go with your gut.

Last week, I shared details of the actual percentage of the increasing value of homes in the downtown Phoenix historic districts between January 2011 and October 2012. This week, I’ll open it up to CenPho, still focusing on the historic neighborhoods. You’ll find this very interesting and informative…

The bold numbers are the percecentage of change in those areas that follow:

No Change

I believe that we have not seen much change in these historic neighborhoods because they are so small and unique. We just have not seen much turnover in homes here.

Ashland Place Historic District
Hoover, Vernon and Ashland Avenues between Central Avenue and Third Street

Alvarado Historic District
Central Avenue, Oak Street, 3rd Street and Palm Lane in Phoenix
Note: I have a great listing at 140 E Coronado, directly behind the Phoenix art museum. This is a great, stable neighborhood.

East Alvarado Historic District
Central Ave., 3rd St., Oak St. and Roanoke Ave.,

East Evergreen Historic District
McDowell and Fillmore Sts., Central and 7th St.,

Up to 15% increase
This is generally the same as those areas noted above. This is a relatively small area and there is not a lot of turn-over.

La Hacienda Historic District
Thomas Rd. and Earll Dr. between 3rd St. and 7th St.

15% – 24.9% increase
The change in these areas is a result of some really nice renovations of historic homes. You are not seeing the huge increase in prices, as with those areas further down in this post because these areas remained surprisingly stable throughout the recession –at least by comparison. These areas prove my premise: that historic neighborhoods survive shocks better than other neighborhoods.

Campus Vista Historic District
Osborn to Thomas, 7th Avenue to 15th Avenue.

Cheery Lynn Historic District
Flower St, Earll Drive, Randolph Road, and 16th Street.

Country Club Manor
7th St. Osborn Rd and Thomas Rd

Del Norte Historic District
Virginia Avenue to Encanto Blvd, 17th Avenue to 15th Avenue

Encanto-Palmcroft Historic District
Encanto Bvd, McDowell Rd., 7th Ave. and 15th Ave.,

Encanto Vista Historic District
Encanto Bvd, Thomas Rd., 7th Ave. and 15th Ave.,

Fairview Place Historic District
15th Ave., McDowell Rd., 18th Ave., and Encanto Blvd

F.Q. Story Historic District
McDowell Rd., 7th Ave., Roosevelt St. and 17th Ave.,

Idylwilde Park Historic District
11th St and 12th St. Weldon Ave. and Fairmount Ave.

Margarita Place Historic District
15th Ave and 16th Ave along Edgemont Ave.

Medlock Place Historic District
Missouri and Camelback Rds. Central and 7th Aves.

Melrose-Woodlea Historic Neighborhood
15th ave to 7th ave and Indian School to the canal

Oakland Historic District
Van Buren and Jefferson Sts. 7th and 15th Aves.

Pierson Place Historic District
Camelback and the Grand Canal Central and 7th Aves.

Woodland Historic District
Grand and 19th Aves. and Van Buren and Fillmore St

Yaple Park Historic District
The Canal and Indian School Rd., 7th and 15th Aves.

25% – 34.9%
Willo saw some terrible price drops, but really started coming back in 2011. I believe a lot of this prices increases in Willo became apparent earlier than those shown far below.

Los Olivos Historic District
Located along Monte Vista Road between Third and Seventh streets

Roosevelt Historic District
McDowell Rd and Fillmore St. Central Ave. and 7th Ave.

Willo Historic District
Central and 7th Aves. McDowell and Thomas Rds.

35% or more increase
These areas really saw a huge dump in prices during the recession. The Coronado neighborhood, for example, was priced incredibly high on a per foot basis before the drop and they saw a huge downturn. Garfield neighborhood is increasing for other reasons –can you say “ASU expansion?” Garfield is going to be an important downtown neighborhood in the coming years and everybody is jumping in on it. I just hope that those who are jumping in are actually renovating the homes and not just acting as absentee landlords.

Brentwood Historic District
McDowell to the I-10, 16th Street to the 51

Coronado Historic District
Virginia Avenue to Coronado Road, 8th Street to 14th Street

Country Club Park Historic District
Thomas Road to Virginia Avenue, 8th Street to Dayton Street.

Earll Place Historic District
Earll Drive and the north side of Pinchot Ave between 16th and 18th st.

Garfield Historic District
7th St. 16th St. VanBuren St. and I-10

North Encanto Historic District
Osborn and Thomas Rds. 15th and 19th Aves.

Windsor Square Historic District
Missouri and Camelback Rds. Central Ave. and 7th St.

“Phoenix’s Innovation and Efficiency efforts are leading the way nationally,” said Mayor Greg Stanton. “As a leader of the city, I get my best ideas from listening to people. We want to put as many of the city’s best ideas forward as possible.”

This deserves a huge round of applause!

The Innovation and Efficiency Task Force went to work January 2010, with private sector members and city executives serving together. Ideas flow through the Task Force to a subcommittee and then to the full City Council. In this excellent 10-minute video the City Celebrates $59 million in Innovation and Efficiency Savings (with numerous specific examples) and announces a $100 million Goal.

“The leadership from Mayor Stanton and Councilman Gates, the full City Council, our Task Force members and hard work from city staff have created a culture of innovation,”said City Manager and Task Force creator, David Cavazos. “Innovative ideas and sound financial management are at the heart of what we do here at the city of Phoenix, and we will continue to find new ideas and solutions.”

Marty Schultz, Task Force Member, and Senior Policy Dir. Brownstein/Hyatt/Farber/Schrek had this to say about the people in the private sector who are involved:

“They are actually very smart people who have finance backgrounds, service backgrounds, and management backgrounds, and have been able to work closely with the city staff.”

This brings to mind a string of programs Mayor Stanton and the city have initiated: In June, I told you about the unveiling of “Go Green Like Your Grocer”, a community energy efficiency showcased at AJ’s Fine Foods; in August, the innovate community-engaging website ‘My Plan Phx’ opened an opportunity for residents to help shape the future of the city through participation in updating the city’s General Plan (Conserve Create ConnectPHX), and planning for the communities along the light rail line (ReinventPHX). This short 1:30 video gives a good idea of what My Plan PHX is all about.

As a former State Legislator and the former state Energy Office Director, I have a strong understanding of energy efficiency in homes. I participated in Energize Phoenix on my property in Garfield, as have many others. That’s a significant bonus when people work with me as their agent. Of the two homes I’ve renovated in Central Phoenix, I did the Energize Phoenix program on my 1925 Arts and Crafts Bungalow. (The other home is a 1948 “war baby” tract home). I understand the attractions and challenges of old homes, as well as how to identify quality new homes. So, please let me know if I can apply my experience to help you buy or sell an energy efficient home in Phoenix.

 [innovation image: seth1492][usa image: Kyle McDonald]

As the summer begins to tease us with signs of fading out–the sky is overcast and the rain is supposed to continue for the next week or so, I find myself thinking about the end of the year. Specifically, I think about how the older realtors always talk about the “slow months” –November through January.

Now, I’m no old hand, but I’m not that new and I can tell you that last Halloween through New Year’s was all work for me in the real estate business.

As the story goes, people stop buying or selling houses because the holidays just creep up on them and they get distracted. The common wisdom says that the market slows down after the summer and then maybe you may be able to negotiate a better deal during the holidays and Christmas. But that has not been the case the last two years.

If you look at previous years (see below), you will see that this is generally true; especially around Thanksgiving. In the first chart below you will see the last nine years. Some of them drop off drastically, but come back around February. In the second chart you will see 2004 and 2005 compared to 2010 and 2011. In ’10 and ’11 there was a little drop around November, but then we just picked right up again.

In other words, don’t assume that the end of the year is going to be slow!

The take away?

First: Don’t assume the end of the year is going to be slow. Whether you are selling or buying, take advantage of the active market.

Second, it’s been hectic the last two years. We have every reason to believe it’s going to be hectic this year, too.

And by the way, if you’re thinking to short sale, you’re running out of time if you want to avoid the tax repercussions of selling your home short. Please see this article and learn how the Mortgage Forgiveness Debt Relief Act allows you to avoid paying taxes on mortgage debt forgiven by your lender. This act runs out at the end of this year.

Houses are being scooped up really quickly right now.  This is no exaggeration: good homes are selling within 24-48 hours now. I’ve seen how frustrating it’s been for some of my clients when they don’t get the properties they offered on.

So… Here are five things that I am asking my clients to do to increase there chances of getting the property that they want. (There are other things, but I can’t give away all my trade secrets!)

1.  Check MLS in the evening, rather than the morning.

Most agents don’t get up early and post new listings. They do it at night. I try to check for new listings in the evening for this reason. If you see something you like, shoot your Realtor an email.

2.   Look closely at the neighborhood on the Internet before visiting the property.

If you are looking at one property in a neighborhood you don’t like, you might miss another property that you do like. So, let’s use the Internet to our advantage. Type the address of the property in to Google Street View and have a look around. We agents already have an opinion of the neighborhoods that we know. But we can’t always predict what you like.

3.  View the property within hours of identifying it, not days.

My “Get Your PHX Team” is adapting to the market conditions. When a property comes on that one of my clients wants to see, the member of our team who is available immediately will try to get them in to see the property, quickly.

4. Have your prequalifcation letter or proof of funds ready.

Realtors cannot show properties unless the buyer has all their financing sorted out. In this market, we need to make decisions in hours. Further, sellers want to verify the buyer’s purchase method. So, everything has to be ready to go.

5. Print/Scan/Fax

These days, we are allowed to sign contracts, then scan or fax them. For this reason, I have my team carry blank contracts to a property in case a buyer wants to make the offer immediately. However, if we don’t write a contract on the spot, we may need the buyer to print/sign/return documents quickly. If a buyer doesn’t have this capability at their office or home, it’s important for them to let us know before we view properties.

The rush that we Realtors feel in this market is frustrating. We understand that nobody likes to feel pressured. Yet, we want the buyer to get what they need and we sincerely appreciate their patience and accommodations. By doing these five things, we are more competitive in getting buyers the property they want.

[image: woodleywonderworks]

Our go-to gal, Nova Home Loan’s Sr. Loan Officer, Jeannie Bolger,  mentioned Reverse Mortgage’s the other day and I thought you’d all appreciate some insight into them.

Like the name implies, a Reverse Mortgage is a product that allows you to convert some of your home’s equity, from all those mortgage payments you’ve been making over the years, into cash without the need to sell your home or pay additional monthly sums. The only point of entry is age: You must be 62 or older to be eligible for a reverse mortgage. And if the state of your credit is on the rocks because it has “issues”? Get this: no credit check required.

If you’re still reading, you’re eligible, you know someone who’s eligible, you’re not so far from being eligible, or I’m just a captivating blogger who you read because you know you’re gonna’ hear something good. Whatever the reasons, having extra money for home improvement, taking care of healthcare expenses, paying off your current mortgage, or adding to your retirement income are all common reasons why people apply for a Reverse Mortgage.

Word on the street, is that there are numerous restrictions on how someone who qualifies for a Reverse Mortgage can use the funds, but Jeannie Bolger gives us the facts:

“The senior can use the proceeds anyway that they wish with one exception: they cannot pay someone simply for advising them to get a reverse mortgage. Seniors can use the money for:

• Medical expenses
• Travel
• Pay property taxes or insurance
• Purchase an equity or long-term health coverage
• Large purchases (RV, a second home, etc.)
• Early inheritance distribution
• Normal household expenses
• In-home health care
• Home repair or improvement
• Eliminate an existing mortgage payment
• Anything you want or need

And according to the Department of Housing and Urban Development’s FAQ on Reverse Mortgages, “Unlike a traditional home equity loan or second mortgage, HECM borrowers do not have to repay the HECM loan until the borrowers no longer use the home as their principal residence or fail to meet the obligations of the mortgage.”

You can receive additional free information about reverse mortgages in general by contacting the National Council on Aging at (800) 510-0301 or   downloading their free booklet, Use Your Home to Stay at Home, a guide for older homeowners who need help now.

The Federal Housing Administration’s HECM reverse mortgage eligibility guidelines require that you:

• Be a homeowner 62 years of age or older
• Own your home outright
•         or have a low mortgage balance that can be paid off at closing with proceeds from the reverse loan,
• You must live in the home.
• Your home must be a single family home or a 2-4 unit home with one unit occupied by the borrower. (HUD-approved condominiums and manufactured homes that meet FHA requirements are also eligible.)
• You are also required to receive consumer information free or at very low cost from a HECM counselor prior to obtaining the loan.
• You can find a HECM counselor online or by phoning (800) 569-4287.

The difference between a reverse mortgage and a home equity loan.

“With a second mortgage, or a home equity line of credit, borrowers must have adequate   income to qualify for the loan, and they make monthly payments on the principal and interest.  A reverse mortgage is different, because it pays you – there are no monthly principal and interest payments.  With a reverse mortgage, you are required to pay real estate taxes, utilities, and hazard and flood insurance premiums.”

~ HUD

The Federal Trade Commission (FTC), the nation’s consumer protection agency, wants you to understand how reverse mortgages work, the types of reverse mortgages available, and how to get the best deal. See this link and Get the Facts before Cashing in on Home Equtiy

See Jeannie Bolger, Sr. Loan Officer for your direct connection to a Reverse Mortgage.

Licensed Mortgage Consultant #194387
Nova Home Loans
2850 E. Camelback Road, #270
Phoenix, AZ 85016
602-550-8674  Mobile
602-385-4812  Office
602-464-7322  Direct Fax
jeannie.bolger@novahomeloans.com
http://www.novahomeloans.com/jeannie.bolger

In a June 5, 2012 letter to Mayor Greg Stanton, Phoenix’s Environmental Quality Commission (EQC) recommended the language for the Solid Waste Collection Ordinance be updated from “The City does not provide” to “The City may provide” waste and recycling services to commercial, industrial and multifamily customers.

“We believe updating this ordinance is congruent with achieving the Environmental Quality Commission’s goal to help city leaders identify environmental issues and advise the City Council on opportunities to protect Phoenix’s natural and urban environment.” ~ Kate Gallego (Chair) and Jessica Catlin (Member)

The most common complaint the EQC hears from Phoenix residents is that they have insufficient access to recycling services. The letter to Mayor Stanton goes on to say:

“Phoenix should have the flexibility to study whether the Public Works Department can meet these customers’ needs by expanding its popular recycling program.”

The EQC letter include goes on to suggest that:

• Allowing Phoenix to explore service options that might result in innovative partnerships with the private sector. This might help expand service and lower rates for solid waste and recycling services.
• An expanded recycling program may help the city simultaneously create a new revenue stream and achieve its diversion goals.
• Removing the barrier to explore this service provision is one significant but simple step Phoenix can take in its efforts to become a more sustainable city.

Why hasn’t Phoenix had a recycle presence in these areas?  

In my quest to answer that question, I found out that obstacles to having recycling bins at multi-family housing units is not the same as reasons some people cite for why it won’t work.

For example, in 2006, The Arizona Republic reported, “Valley cities say they don’t offer recycling to apartments and condos because those residents won’t take advantage of the service. They also fear that contamination (regular garbage mixed with recyclables) would be too high because of the anonymity that shared trash bins offer. They also say there is simply no demand.”

Another interesting tidbit from the article:

Terry Feinberg, president of the Arizona Multihousing Association, said recycling won’t work at apartment complexes because scavengers would rummage through containers. He also said existing dumpster corrals are difficult to enlarge to make room for separate recycling bins.

“Even on new construction, the extra space required can lead to elimination of parking spaces, which can put the property out of zoning compliance,” Feinberg said.

If the state was serious about requiring multihousing to recycle, Feinberg said, officials would offer financial incentives to the industry or allow complexes to retrofit and waive code penalties.

That was in 2006. Where are we now in handling these situations?

“I can’t speak to why Phoenix has not been in the business of recycling in the past, but here is what i do know. Residents and businesses want better service, and other cities across the country have much more robust programs, so there must be a way to meet this need. Changing the language allows our city to explore those possibilities.”

~ Jessica  Catlin, Phoenix Environmental Quality Commision

Now that’s what I’m talking about: Proactive, forward-leaning momentum. Enough talk about change. Be the change. 

—The EQC plays a leadership role on a number of environmental topics, including greener neighborhoods, renewable and solar energy projects, land use policies, air and water quality, sustainable building codes, urban heat island, recycling initiatives, climate action plan goals, the Phoenix General Plan, and other key city efforts.—