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Art, Events General, Life, Phoenix News

July 27: First Ever Monorchid Family Day!

Get out of the summer heat. Join monOrchid gallery for their first ever annual Family Day!

Saturday
July 27
10 a.m. – 2 p.m.

 

Children of all ages invited!

This is an opportunity to celebrate the greatest gifts in our lives–our families– and the culture and community that sustain them. Fun and wonderful activities for all ages and cultural underpinnings that “elevate” to boot.  People in the know will bring their swimsuits too – there are persistent rumors of a kiddie pool in Dorina’s office 🙂  Show your love for your super extended Phoenix family and participate in making our city stronger. As the yogi says, “be here now.” ~ Wayne Rainey, owner of Monorchid

  • Docent-lead tours of the exhibit.
  • Live painting by local artist Jayme Blue from the Thermal PHX exhibit.
  • Limited edition Thermal PHX Color sheet and drawing tables for children to create in the gallery.
  • Hip Veggies will be creating awesome veggie art and debuting their new screen-printed canvas tote by artist Rafael Navarro.
  • Yoga in the grass at “The Lot” (all ages, bring your mat): 10am to 11am.
  • “Tales of a Tombstone, Arizona Tortoise” reading by authors Heather and Tad Smith.
  • Performance by local musicians Andrew Waterhouse and Steven Totten (of Tres Lunas).
  • Local treats from great Phoenix restaurants Carly’s Bistro and Pallets Food & Bar along, delicious cookies from Urban Cookies Bakeshop and Brilliant Sky Bakery.

The exhibition is meant to be a “thermal” for emerging local artists, helping them elevate their work by providing an exhibition opportunity in a major art space during our long, hot Phoenix summer. This wonderful exhibition offers a variety of art that will appeal to everyone. We hope you will join us for this very special event!

July 12, 2013by phxAdmin
Events GYP, Life

July Get Your PHX: ‘Pomo Pizzeria Napoletana

Special thanks to Aaron Chamberlin and Amy del Real of the Public Market Cafe. The staff at the Café showered us with five courses of the most wonderful, locally-sourced items from their menu, ending with a rosemary and caramel brownie that was the talk of the evening. Aaron shared with us his philosophy of sourcing locally and supporting local farmers and answered all of our questions. We are looking forward to seeing the Public Market thrive as a central meeting place and destination.

For July, I’m thrilled to tell you about ‘Pomo Pizzeria Napoletano (and, no, we are not talking about our former governor). Napoletano pizza is a very specific style of pizza that ‘Pomo part owner and Master Chef Mateo Schiavone, has practiced making for over 30 years.

Wait, I’m getting ahead of myself. Let me start with salad. Yes, salad.

I dropped by ‘Pomo on a day that they were closed (a Monday) to speak with co-owner Stefano Fabbri. He had just finished putting together a salad with shrimp and a light dressing for himself and his employee — a variation of one of his menu items. He insisted that I join them and we shared a cool, refreshing salad while we spoke. Half way through, he sent his employee off to get the vegetable lasagna, which he had put in the oven some minutes before. That was brought out with cold drinks and we each pulled a portion of it off the plate for ourselves.

I still can’t put my finger on it. There was something about the way that we ate together from one shared plate. Or, maybe something in the very air of that restaurant took me right out of Phoenix and in to a neighborhood restaurant on the Adriatic.

Stefano has a lyric Italian accent and urgent manner that certainly helped transport me across the Atlantic. I found myself using my hands a little more than usual as I spoke. He told me his story, which I will not tell you now. You will have to come to the next Get Your PHX to hear it directly from him. I can tell you that it involves love, immigration and a strong belief that Phoenix is a better place to live than Seattle.

You heard it here first.

But, there’s more. ‘Pomo is the first and only APN (Associazione Pizzaiuoli Napoletani) and VPN (Verace Pizza Napoletana) certified restaurant in Arizona. They have to go to great lengths to get that designation. They use ingredients that are internationally recognized as Traditional Speciality Guaranteed (TSG). The best known example of this designation is that Champagne only comes from the Champagne region; all others are just sparkling wine. In his case, that applies to his cheeses, his flour, his yeast and a whole list of other ingredients.

Come to July’s Get Your PHX and experience what I felt when I dropped by for a private lunch. You will hear about Stefano’s origins in Rimini Italy, learn about Mateo’s culinary education and try the free samples of what ‘Pomo has to offer. Stefano is also offering drink specials just for our group.

Don’t forget, of course, the monthly Get Your PHX raffle. We already have one free night at the Clarendon Hotel on the list of raffle items you can win. Stay tuned on Facebook for more raffle items and updates.

July Get Your PHX
July 18th from 5:30 until about 7:30
705 N 1st St  Map It
Phoenix, AZ 85004
July 2, 2013by phxAdmin
Events General, Life, Phoenix News

“This Golden Ticket is Giant, Indy!”

On June 30th of this month, this coming Sunday, the sun will raise the temp over 115. (At precisely 2:47pm, on June 26, yesterday, in 1990, the temperature hit 122 degrees. That record is unbroken. We hope this weekend it will remain that way.) And yes, anything over 110 is plenty hot enough, but their are two golden reasons you should get exited about this coming Sunday:  “Indie Week” starts!

Here be ye Golden Coupon.

It’s the ticket to saving 20% off purchases from 282 local Arizona businesses being honored and recognize by Local First Arizona. This list of participating businesses will be continually added to through the month of June. Simply print the Golden Coupon from the LFA website or pull it up on your smartphone and use it at as many participating locations as you like (some restrictions may apply).

 Local businesses are the backbone of this country and we have a lot to thank them for.”  ~ Local First AZ news page

The official name is “National Independents Week”, but if you’re cool and hip “Indie Week” is the bee’s knees. (I may have lost some cool points on that last bit).

What better time to thank independent local businesses who are responsible for local job creation and so much community involvement?

Independents Week is especially important in Arizona during the slow summer months for many of our local business owners,” says Kimber Lanning, Director of Local First Arizona.

Our hope is that consumers will learn about the value of supporting local businesses during Indie Week, and then continue to support our independent businesses far beyond our week-long celebration.”

Step up and take the pledge to support Indie Week. Everyone who takes the pledge will automatically be entered into a contest to win a staycation: the package includes a one night stay at Globe’s Noftsger Hill Inn Bed and Breakfast and a meal at Safford’s A Step Back in Time Coffee & Deli.

When:   Sunday, June 30 through Sunday, July 7

Where:  All over Arizona in 282 independent businesses.

I chose to work with HomeSmart because it is locally-owned. I left my previous brokerage because it was bought out by an out-of-state company. I put my money where my mouth is and I will do that with the purchase or sale of your home. Please give me a call at 602-456-9388 or email me at ken@getyourphx.com.

 

June 27, 2013by phxAdmin
First Time Home Buyer, Phoenix News, Tips

Phoenix Spokes People

 You have to give it to them. Despite upcoming triple digit temperatures, the Phoenix Bike Community never stops peddling.” ~ Me, in 2012.

I wrote that in a post just over a year ago (“Can we measure distance in miles per doughnut?“) and the (then) upcoming Celebration of the city’s growing bike scene, as an event we know as Pedal Craft was just kicking into its second volume.

Here we are: June 2013. My, how quickly things pick up when people get excited about the possibilities of something… This past April, just five months after Phoenix Spokes People (PSP) formed–a group of urban cyclists dedicated to making Phoenix a friendlier, more welcoming place to ride a bike–they were represented at nearly all of the 19 community budget hearings for the City of Phoenix.

It’s not sexy, standing up and asking politicians for a much-needed increase in funding for bicycle infrastructure, but it gets the job done. Prior to PSP’s activation in the budget hearings, the city of Phoenix was spending a paltry $50,000 per year on bike safety and improved infrastructure.

Word spread quickly and we are fast becoming a popular group to join in the Phoenix bicycling community. We believe that bicycling should be an easily accessible form of transportation for people of all ages, incomes and abilities. We imagine a Phoenix with people dressed up or down – going to work or heading out for a night on the town – and getting there safely by riding their bike in a proper bike lane.” ~ Lisa Parks, PSP advocate

To put that $50,000 city of Phoenix bicycle budget in context: The country average for a bike infrastructure spending is $1 per person. In Atlanta, it’s $6 per person. Phoenix is a mere 3 cents per person!

 April 2013 Bike to Work Day (photo by Jonce Walker)

Or rather, that WAS our bike budget… That was before the Phoenix Spokes People took to our Phoenix streets and raised their voices with facts, figures, encouragement, and accountability on how the money should be spent. The result is that PSP made a difference!  The approved budget for the City of Phoenix now includes $1,500,000 to make our city more bike-friendly!

We’re sending the message that biking and walking and all multimodal transportation is as important as vehicular traffic in the city of Phoenix,” Mayor Greg Stanton.

Phoenix Spokes People has monthly meetings and monthly rides. If you bike Phoenix, they’d love for you to join them!

 

 

PSP members (Lisa Parks, John Romero, Mayor Stanton, Sean Sweat, and Joey Robert Parks) with Mayor Stanton at the first budget hearing of 2013 (photo by John Romero)

 

Providing neighborhood choices and transportation choices, and neighborhood choices that allow you to reduce transportation costs — are really essential for the success of Phoenix,” says Curt Upton from the city’s planning department, who’s part of the Reinvent PHX management team. “From an economic development perspective, the stakes are pretty high for us to make sure that we’re a livable city and we’re an attractive city going forward.” ~ The Atlantic, ‘Phoenix’s Walkability Gamble Might Actually Pay Off‘

(And what about Pedal Craft volume three? Sign up for details at the link.)

If you want to buy or sell, please give me a call at 602-456-9388 or email me at ken@getyourphx.com.

 

 

 

 

 

June 13, 2013by phxAdmin
Events GYP, Life

Get Your PHX: Public Market Cafe

Special thanks to Duc Laio for hosting the May Get Your PHX. This was probably the most heart-warming event we’ve had. Duc and his wife Noelle are doubling down on Downtown and investing so much of their heart, soul and resources in to Scratch French Pastry at 2nd St and Roosevelt.

They shared this with us and the RoRo community has stepped up to help with their plans.

Thanks also to Ben Bethel of the Clarendon Hotel for offering free pool entrance to his hotel for anybody who visits Scratch AND donating a one-night stay to our Get Your PHX free raffle.  Natalie Melchiorre also donated a one-month health reboot with her company, BodyAide. The famous Trini Fragozo of VolR Salon also donated gift certificates for styling. Mural artist Jesse Perry was very gracious to come answer questions about the new mural that he is doing on this corner, as well as his upcoming events at the Renaissance Hotel downtown Thank you all for supporting a new business downtown!

June’s Get Your PHX is all about new beginnings. As you know the old Phoenix Public Market closed last year, although the twice-weekly open air Phoenix Public Market remains in business.

Aaron Chamberlin of the famous St. Francis Restaurant on Camelback and 3rd took the initiative to create a new community spot for us downtown. He has been a true neighborhood supporter, as he has worked collaboratively with the Phoenix Public Market to open the Public Market Cafe. He could have done anything with this building, but his goal is to create a fun, affordable restaurant that is accessible to the community, and which complements the open air market.

The Cafe has open seating, a full bar, a wood fired rotisserie and excellent food. This is just the kind of walkable, light rail friendly cooperation that downtown deserves. Aaron is focusing on farm-to-table, affordable meals. 

Folks, there is a real locavore philosophy here that we will hear about from Aaron. They ground their almond butter and burgers only when you order them. 

The New Times reported that “Cafe will also have retail shelves stocked with 90 percent local products, including Black Mesa goat cheese fudge, Chris Bianco’s canned tomatoes, Bob McClendon’s honey, Hayden Flour Mill flour, olive oils, vinegars, aprons and cookbooks.” 

As you know, this is not easy to pull off. Locally-sourced, organic products are often more expensive and it is a true talent to find a way to offer meals under $10 in that environment. So, we look forward to hearing Aaron tell us first hand how he does it and what he is planning next.

So, please join us on June 20th. We will meet Aaron personally to hear about his vision and what it took to open the market. Of course, there will be specials and samples from the Public Market Cafe as well as our monthly Get Your PHX Free Raffle.

June Get Your PHX
June 20th from 5:30 until about 7:30
14 E Pierce  Map It
Phoenix, AZ 85004
June 4, 2013by phxAdmin
Life, Public Policy

Liberals are Wrong About Climate Change

So, do I have your attention?

What liberals and climate change “believers” have wrong* is (1) how they treat climate change skeptics and (2) to whom they are speaking.

I was confronted last weekend with a shocking and revealing experience. In an unrelated conversation with a person I have always regarded as an intelligent critical thinker, I brought up solar panels. This person had a visceral reaction to the idea of solar panels and the conversation shut down.

I was taken aback. Solar panels are as innocuous as water softener systems. 25,000 home owners (of all political leanings) in Arizona have installed them. Republican Governor Jan Brewer has them on her house and she loves them. Even as incentives are going away, people are still installing them

Look, I work with a lot of people every day and I only see reactions like the one I saw when something has touched a nerve –when the topic at hand represents more than just the neutral object, itself. To me, the reaction last weekend spoke of a larger issue.  You can disagree whether solar panels save money, or are worth the effort financially, but this person seemed to consider solar panels an affront to decency.

I don’t know what solar energy represented to this person. But I am certain, based on what I know, that this person has probably been getting some very inaccurate information about the costs, utility and promise of solar panels.

This got me thinking –and frankly, a little depressed.  So much of this debate happens because there are very strong interests that resist changing the way we harvest and collect energy, how we conserve, personally and as a society –and what we know to be true about climate change.

There are two types of resistance: the political/financial and the personal.

In this situation, which requires significant behavioral change, corporations and political structures resist –and they use a ton of money through the media to convince a lot of people that “the jury is still out.”

Hey, it is tough to ask a person who has always used a certain amount of energy or water to think about conservation –it is complicated and uncomfortable sometimes. You are asking them to alter their American dream.

Heck, change like this may even make you feel as if you are being indicted for all those years you heard about climate change, but were not ready to accept its reality. Who wants to feel like they are part of the problem? This makes resistance to change an easy sell because people naturally don’t want to interrupt their lives if they don’t have to.

Psychologists know that humans’ first reaction when confronted with such discomfort is to rationalize why they are not wrong. The political/financial elements in society resist necessary change by playing on that psychological human tendency.

And here is why it money and media-driven resistence so affective: good people who just thought they were doing the right thing are now being told that they were not for all those years.

I love the lyrics from the band The Postal Service, which really encapsulates this beautifully.

And then last night I had that strange dream
Where everything was exactly how it seemed
Where concerns about the world getting warmer
The people thought they were just being rewarded
For treating others as they like to be treated
For obeying stop signs and curing diseases
For mailing letters with the address of the sender
Now we can swim any day in November

So, I looked at our situation and felt like we are in a true pickle: it is human nature to want to expand; it is human nature to resist change when it challenges how we view ourselves; it is the nature of corporations to resist new costs and therefore miss how the new reality could actually be profitable; it is in the nature of democratic governments to listen to their citizens and corporations when they say they only want change that is painless.

I was specifically disheartened because so many very smart people, like the one who triggered this conversation, have been taken for a ride by very savvy interests. These adept opinion manipulators know that all of what I’ve said about human nature is true and have cynically made the not-so-subtle case that climate change is driven by crazy environmentalists. They have made this debate a symbolic extension of a 50-year old cultural war in America.

An aside: I heard the compelling argument many times that lefty scientists just fabricate global warming so they can get grant money. However, reason dictates that top oil company executives, who resist the move away from fossil fuels and who make about $100,000 PER DAY have the greater incentive to maintain the status quo.

Anyway, this gulf between those who do and don’t accept climate change is so huge that I felt deeply discouraged thinking about how we could ever resolve it. Even if we accept the truth of climate change, the personal and political behavioral change required of people (liberal, conservative, whatever) will make this the most difficult challenge ever faced by humans.

Wouldn’t it be sad, I thought, if we only accomplish the change needed when the mean temperature and carbon levels have reached an undeniable level? By that time, the consequences to agriculture, low land populations and places like Arizona could take another 100 years to reverse.

But, I try not to stay discouraged for too long and how I felt less discouraged is what  this blog has been leading up to.

I heard last week’s This American Life in which they covered three stories of  how people are beginning to speak differently about climate change. Most notably, Former Republican South Carolina Representative Bob Inglis has been touring the country trying to change the way the Republicans think about climate change.

He makes a great point. To paraphrase, “what conservative would want to change their minds in front of a bunch of liberals who might take this as an opportunity to expand government or who often present this entire debate in a condescending tone of ‘I told you so’?”

As he describes it, Republicans need to recognize the science, reject the hype about one hot summer or one bad hurricane season (as I do), and focus on what they do best: find a way to make a profit or reduce the size of government while solving the climate change problem. I’m cool with that. We need everybody pulling together.

So, this gave me hope. This made me feel like we have a chance. It made me realize that those of us who accept the science need to slow down, get better at answering the critiques and open the conversation with those who disagree. We’ve gotten too good at just preaching to the choir.

If you’ve made it to the end of this long blog post, first, congratulations. Second, please take the time to listen to that last edition of This American Life –at least Acts One and Two. Do this where you can listen uninterrupted. I believe that this way of thinking represents a way forward and out of this morass.

I am certain that climate change is happening and it is man made –the proof is not in any recent tornado or hurricane, I don’t see it in any unusually hot summer.Its simple math: we have just exceeded 400 parts per million (ppm) of carbon in the atmosphere and 98 percent of climate scientist agree that after 350 ppm we will see a 2 degree centigrade temperature worldwide in the coming decades. 

The only unknown is, what will be the consequences of inaction?

Then comment here or on Facebook. If you like it, share it all. If not, let’s start talking.

 

*I dislike the term “believer” because this is not like the easter bunny. However, “climate change support” does not work, either. I don’t support climate change, like a political candidate.

June 1, 2013by phxAdmin
Art, Design, Events General, Phoenix News

June 21: Summer Solstice Celebration at Phx Central Library

 

 

Did you know the largest reading room in North America is at Phoenix Burton Barr Central Library?

Get yourself over to the 43,000 square reading room on the fifth floor of the library and witness the precise moment of the summer solstice.

Folks, this is one of those “hidden secrets” of Phoenix that everybody should see at least once.

In fact, you can only see it once per year, on the summer solstice. And on that day, “The ceiling will seem to float and the columns glow like candles.”

The summer solstice is the day when the sun reaches its highest point in the sky, marking the longest day of the year.

The top floor roof structure of the library has the most to offer viewers of the indirect light. Blue skylights above each column illuminate the tips of the columns at noon on the summer solstice.

“Summer solstice reminds us that we are not just Arizonans, not just Americans, but we are children of the universe,” said Will Bruder, architect/designer of the library.

On Friday, June 21, Bruder will describe the unique features he designed to create a visual effect at solar noon on the summer solstice.

EVENT DETAILS

Event: Summer Solstice Celebration
Registration: Not Required
Date: Fri, Jun. 21, 2013
Age Level: All
Time: 11:30 AM to 1:30 PM
Location: Burton Barr Central Library

Enjoy live music by Canyon Records recording artist Anthony Wakeman. Music begins at 11:30. (After the event, join the Hance Park Conservancy in the Fourth Floor Lecture Room for a preview of the Hance Park redesign.)

If you want to buy or sell, in fall, spring, winter, summer, or summer solstice, please give me a call at 602-456-9388 or email me at ken@getyourphx.com.

[all photographs by Bill Timmerman]
May 31, 2013by phxAdmin
First Time Home Buyer, Light Rail, Tips

Trending Urban Density

For the last month or so, I walked you through a 5-part series on the current state of the market. Today, we’re going to take a giant leap up. Welcome to…

The Macro-Macro View

This slide is from the Brooking’s Institute. It’s a very new thing. Very new information.  It’s about migration of people into Phoenix.

 

In about 2006 we had 400,000/year moving here, but then it dropped. People have been coming from the big red circles to the blue circles because they’re tired of the cold, the overpopulated areas, the promise of something better, lots of reasons. The circles are sized based on the number of people migrating.

The Macro-Micro View

This next graph gives us a good look at the migration percentage rates between 2001 and 2012. The gray line at 0.0 indicates a normal inflow of people migrating in and out of each city. The red lines are people migrating out. Because red lines are a negative number it’s below the 0.0 line. The blue lines are people migrating to each city. These are positive numbers.

In 2011 and 2012 you see people are moving into Phoenix. We’re going back to our normal above average inflow of people. Follow the line back to 2003, you’ll see we had a positive migration rate which peaked in 2004/05. The numbers took a huge nose dive in 2004/2005 because of bad economy and people were leaving Arizona. Now they’re starting to come back. We never went negative, though Orlando did (the dark blue, almost black line).

The macro-macro and macro-micro takeaway is that people are still leaving the east and coming into Phoenix.

Thinking Ahead: Infrastructure

Let’s think about the coming infrastructure. Where is the light rail going? Will the light rail still drive investments? There’s very limited infill planed, so if you’re an investor, you need to follow the transit.

The thick blue lines below are planned extensions of the light rail. The little circles are current light rail stops.

We’ve learned that you can hardly find a house between the 7’s now because of where the light rail is. Those people who really didn’t like the idea of the light rail coming in may still be out there, but look how much it’s helped the economy. Look at what the economic development has done.

The light rail line heading farther west on the I-10, starting at the I-17 should be done by 2023. Does this mean you need to jump on a house right now? No. Will the homes near that coming light rail line be as extremely unavailable as the last time that reduced the homes between the 7’s so significantly? I doubt it.

Look at this where the future light rail line going up 19th Ave to Dunlap (the line past the red bit), headed to Metrocenter.

You’ll want to keep watch on Metrocenter over the next 10 years. We don’t know exactly which way it’s going to go up the 51, but we do know it will go to the ballpark. We also know that it’s going to follow the 51, though how close right up next to it is uncertain. It’s a great drive. I’d love to see the line go right up the middle of the 51 freeway. We’ll see.

The line might go into into paradise valley mall, right at Cactus rd. There are some really nice houses there. I think we’re going to see some good value go into those houses because of that.

Look back up at the big light rail map, above. Notice that the light rail does not go into Scottsdale.

 

You won’t know about it for 30 years, but Scottsdale is making the same mistake right now that Georgetown made in Washington DC in the early 1970’s.

When the Metro line opened there, Georgetown wanted nothing to do with it. They didn’t want “those people” (whatever that means) around. For that reason, all the development around the Metroline went east. There’s a new convention center, new stadium, tons of other new developments on the opposite of Washington DC, today, the exact opposite direction of Georgetown. Georgetown is dead.

Scottsdale is asking for the same thing. I’m calling it right now. You can quote me on this.

Thinking Ahead: The Phoenix We Want

Ready to make a difference in our future light rail infrastructure and other important urban choices?

Last night (5/15) the Urban Choices Community Conversation: Making Phoenix a World Class City took place with the Phoenix City Council district 4 candidates. If you missed it, tonight, (5/16) the same opportunity for downtown Phoenix will take place with the District 8 candidates at 6pm – 8pm, at Levine Machine (605 E Grant St, Phoenix, AZ 85004)

  • Creating Connected Communities (Facilitating Walking, Biking, Rail, and Bus Connectivity)
  • City Staff 2.1 (Silo Busting and Moving from Planning to 21st Century Implementation)
  • Economic Competitiveness (Economic Resources Stewardship – Development Connected to Existing Infrastructure)
  • Economic Diversity (Moving Beyond Boom and Bust)
  • Transit Oriented Development (Redefining Urban Vibrancy –New Thinking in a New Economy)

Buy or sell, give me a call at 602-456-9388 or email me at ken@getyourphx.com.
I’ll make it happen.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

May 16, 2013by phxAdmin
Events GYP, Life

May 2013 Get Your PHX: Scratch French Cafe

Thanks again to our friend Laura Dragon of {9}TheGallery  the folks at Bragg’s Pie Factory Diner , Chris Klein and Chris Duran of Glass Lab/Metal Lab, Beatrice Moore, the Grande Dame of Grand Ave and Jen Urso of Frontal Lobe Community Art Space. We had a wonderful time and learned so much!

This may be a red letter day in Phoenix. Well, technically about a month ago was a red letter day in downtown. It was the day that Scratch French Pastry and Pallet opened in the long-vacant Canvas building at 2nd St and Roosevelt.

For how long were we forced to look at that empty building, once full of hope, defaced by neglect and empty promises?

But no more, my friends, no more! Today, we rise again!

Sorry. Pastries and beer get me all melodramatic.

First, a little back-story. I spoke with co-owner Noelle Liao last November about their plans to open a downtown version of their successful Scottsdale French pastry shop, called Scratch, in Canvas. Back then she estimated that they would be ready to open by about April.

Now, for of you downtowners who may be thinking that something from Scottsdale can’t be all that good, listen to this story. Noelle, who has family in Arizona, was a model working internationally when she met her husband, Duc, a Vietnamese-Chinese fashion photographer, raised in France.

Bada-bing, bada-boom, they get married, have a couple children and decide to settle in Scottsdale. Well, “settle” is relative. Duc still jets off to Europe regularly for photo shoots. Plus, they both spent years researching and preparing for their excursion in to the world of pastries. Duc was classically trained at Le Cordon Bleu and together they spent a year preparing and researching where to open in Scottsdale.

After over four years of rave reviews, they are taking the opportunity to join us here where all the action is. And, here’s the other reason they are worth a visit: they made a name for themselves serving very reasonably priced fair. They have sandwiches around $8, pastries around $5 and 19-ounce beers for $4 at their daily happy hour. This happy hour is getting some positive reviews already, too.

Noelle said that they were inspired to begin this business because of the time that they spend in France. Their weekends, highlighted by causal times spent at the local pastry shops.

Now this, my friends, is why we want to celebrate Scratch. Not only is the back-story über charming and trés internationale, but they are truly trying to share with us an incredible memory and giving us a chance to experience that same feeling.

UPDATE: Chef Duc Liao is making a special French cheese pastry called a Gougère for the first 30 people in the door.

May  2013 Get Your PHX
May 23rd, 5:30 to 7:30
1011 N 3rd St, Phoenix Map It

 

May 2, 2013by phxAdmin
First Time Home Buyer, Market Analysis, Phoenix News, Tips

Market Analysis: Riding the Rollercoaster (part 1)

The market price is a function of supply and demand.
~ Tina Tamboer-Glatfelter, Cromford Report

 

“oh, oh! It’s going up! It’s going up!”

 

 

”Oh, no! Now it’s going down, it’s going down!”

 

It sounds simple, but people get sucked up in the passions of the moment. They forget that price is a function of supply and demand.

100 is the magic line on the Cromford Supply Index.  As you can see from the graph, below, we are below the horizontal supply line of 100. It’s gone down, down, down, so today, in 2013, we are right about where we were in 2004. 

On the Cromford Demand side, we are higher than on normal demand—people have been talking about the high demand, but look, the demand was much higher in 2009.

Tina’s point is not that the demand is super high and therefore that’s what’s making this happen.  It’s that the supply is super low. So, yes, the demand is above average, but it’s not at 150!

Like Transformers.

The Supply Index and The Demand Index transform to show us when there is a seller’s market or a buyer’s market.

In Tina’s presentation at the Get Your PHX March 26 Market Briefing, she showed how the market index was at 300 market index before the recession, which is when many people bought their homes. See how the market index comes up a little bit in 2009?

This is where it becomes a seller’s market for just a short amount of time because people needed to use that first time home buyer’s tax credit. Then that went away and it dropped. Now we’ve been climbing up, steadily.

One of the most common questions Realtors hear is ‘When is the best time to sell my property?’  Often a seller wants to sell at the peak of price, when they can get the most for their investment.  However, their answer should be to sell during a seller’s market, when there’s more demand than supply.  Price is a trailing indicator, meaning that it’s in response to leading indicators such as supply and demand.  By the time our market peaks in price, and the media reports on it months later, the seller on the fence is too late to the party.

The Cromford Market Index is a tool that combines supply and demand data for the Phoenix Metro area to give clients a bird’s eye view of whether we’re in a seller’s or buyer’s market.  From this chart we can see that the peak of the seller’s market was Spring of 2005, after that the index took a dive and seller’s only had 7 months of advantage before reaching balance.  Prices, however, continued to rise until peaking from 2006-2007 when buyer’s took solid control of the market.

Today we find ourselves in a seller’s market once again and consumers are wondering if it’s a good time to sell.  Currently the answer is yes, but if supply increases or demand decreases you don’t want to get stuck on the fence.

~ Tina Tamboer-Glatfelter, Get Your PHX Team/Cromford Report

What’s a normal market?

Most people do not know what a normal market looks like.

For the last 10 years, we’ve been in either a severe up-swing, or crash, or coming out of it. In a more normal market, though, you’re going to fluctuate back and forth on this range among either side of this 100 line of the seller’s market/buyer’s market index line. So what’s happening is you get people reacting more extremely than they would in a normal market. Have a look again at those green circles again, below.

Low and behold, here we are, today, right back where we were in 2004.

If you bought in 2004, you’re probably in a good place to sell it. If you bought in 2009, 2010, 2011, you’re probably also in a good place to sell it. This is important to emphasize.  You’re starting to see people put things on the market, which is good, because it’s a seller’s market.

When you factor in what we’re seeing in terms of distressed and non-distressed single family inventory, foreclosures, and short-sales, and then look at it all in context, you’ll understand why equity seller is returning. That’s next week.

If you want to sell (or buy), please give me a call at 602-456-9388 or email me at ken@getyourphx.com.

[rollercoaster pic: Upsilon Andromedae]

April 11, 2013by phxAdmin
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